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Give the People What They Want
I recently had a brief, always, always as short as possible these days, discussion about America’s reality TV politics. I concluded if someone gave me good enough odds, I might bet pretty heavily Joe Biden will not be reelected. Since in two and half centuries, only 11 of 45 presidents have lost reelection, at least 4-1 odds would seem appropriate.
Of course any astute street corner bookie offering a line would argue 4-1 odds are way too good. Since 1976, four of eight sitting presidents—Ford, Carter, H.W., Trump—have lost reelection.
Any good bookie would say, “Forget 4-1, it’s even money Bub.”
I might pathetically counter, “But only one was a Democrat.”
“Yeah, right.”
The LATimes has an amusing piece titled, “Why Biden’s really bad approval ratings don’t matter.” It’s written by a guy whose byline claims, “He is a Democratic strategist and a former senior advisor for Republicans on the House Oversight Committee.” Phew, that’s some sort of transitioning, but really it’s probably a good a definition as any of a Democrat these days.
If I did make the bet, depending on how much, I might call and pitch RFK jr saying, “I was with Uncle Teddy all the way to the convention,” ending with, “All the way with RFK!”
My first venture into politics was against the incumbent president of my own party, a contributing factor, certainly not the only or most significant, to Carter’s loss and the launching of the Reagan Revolution — really a lasting reactionary entrenchment of the powers that be far more than any sort of insurgency.
But, I’d ask for far too much money and the grandkids have run through most of all Old Joe’s money. I’d certainly have to stand firm on price, after all, its’s all just bad TV and even the most atrocious TV makes lots of money, just turn to any cable news channel.